Free tool

Seeding calculator: from samples to forecast GMV

Enter samples, post rate, views, CTR and conversion to see forecast GMV, seeding cost and return. Or start from a GMV goal and find how many samples to send.

Calculated for TikTok Shop Brazil: amounts in R$ (Brazilian format, comma as decimal separator).

Your seeding

Product, packaging and shipping. Free-sample shipping is 100% on the seller.

Content and conversion example values

Example defaults with no source yet. Replace them with your numbers.

Economics

What to expect

Samples
Creators who post
Attributed orders
Seeding cost
Commission paid
Net revenue (GMV − commission − seeding)
Return per sample (on cost)
Cost per order
Cost per video
Forecast GMV

The math behind it

StepFormulaExample
Creators who postsamples × post rate100 × 20% = 20
Attributed ordersposters × views × CTR × conversion20 × 3.000 × 1% × 3% = 18
GMVorders × average ticket18 × R$ 80 = R$ 1.440
Return(GMV − commission − seeding cost) ÷ seeding cost(1.440 − 144 − 3.000) ÷ 3.000 = −0,57

The post rate, views, CTR and conversion defaults are examples with no published source. Use your real numbers: the result changes a lot with them.

How to use it

Pick “forecast GMV” to see what a batch of samples should return. Pick “find how many samples” to start from a GMV goal. Samples are rounded up.

What the calculator does not do

It ignores time to post, creators who post more than once, returns and TikTok Shop fees. For profit per sale, use the fee calculator. To choose who gets a sample, see Samples and shipping.

Formulas: creators who post = samples × post rate; orders = posters × views × CTR × conversion; GMV = orders × ticket. The post rate, views, CTR and conversion defaults are examples with no published source: use your own numbers.

Notice: Estimate, not a sales guarantee. The result changes with the numbers you enter.

Frequently asked questions

Which post rate should I use?
Yours, from the last batch you shipped. With no history, start with the broad list preset and adjust. The values on the page are examples, not a market average.
Why is the return negative?
Because with these numbers the GMV from the samples does not cover their cost. Try a higher post rate, a higher ticket or a lower cost per sample.
What is CTR in this calculation?
The share of people who watched the video and clicked the product. It comes from each video's TikTok Shop dashboard.
Does it work for affiliates with no sample?
Yes, with a cost per sample of zero. Return shows no value, because there is no cost to divide by.
Is the result a sales guarantee?
No. It is an estimate from the numbers you enter.

Free for 7 days

Try Glow.ai free for 7 days: the full Glow Seller plan and 5 creator search credits (1 credit = 1 batch of 100 creators). Card required; nothing is charged at sign-up. Cancel before day 8 and pay nothing.